FCS_DIR_RISK = ''

    if environ.has_key('FCS_DIR_RISK'):

        FCS_DIR_RISK = environ['FCS_DIR_RISK'] + '/'

    tempfile.tempdir = FCS_DIR_RISK

    tempfile.template = 'reduced'

    reduced_file_name = tempfile.mktemp()

 

    if target_name == '':

        target_name = None

 

 

    port = VaR(ael_entity)

    if port.reduce(FCS_DIR_RISK+scenario_name, reduced_file_name, rfspecid):

        result = port.monte_carlo(split(split(reduced_file_name,'/')[-1], '\\')[-1], nr_of_scenarios, percentile,target_name)

        remove(reduced_file_name)

        return result

    else:

        return 0.0